As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, an intriguing pattern is emerging, showing a correlation between Bitcoin’s (BTC) price and the rising odds of a potential Donald Trump victory.
A comparison of Trump’s betting odds to win the election against Vice President Kamala Harris indicates that the former president’s chances have been climbing since October 10, reaching 53% as of press time, according to data from Kalshi.
Between October 10 and 14, Trump’s odds increased from around 50% to 54%. During this same period, the price of Bitcoin surged from approximately $60,300 to around $65,000, reflecting an over 7% increase.
Impact of Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance
It appears that Trump’s pro-Bitcoin stance may be influencing market sentiment. During the current presidential campaigns, Trump has emerged as a strong proponent of Bitcoin, actively embracing the asset and aiming to position the U.S. as a global leader in the crypto space.
His support has included accepting Bitcoin for campaign donations, advocating for a deregulated approach to crypto, and promoting pro-Bitcoin policies at major conferences.
At the same time, the former president has opposed the possible rollout of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), which he believes threaten financial freedom.
To support his political stance on cryptocurrency, Trump is also involved in related crypto initiatives. For instance, on October 15, he will unveil the sale of the World Liberty Financial (WLF) token, a project he has described as a “chance to help shape the future of finance.”
With Bitcoin reclaiming the $65,000 level, crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen noted in an X post on October 14 that the asset has shown resilience by maintaining its position above the bull market support band for several weeks. This steady support has bolstered market confidence.
Therefore, technical analysis suggests that if the typical late-October bullish seasonality takes hold,